Favero, Ichino and Rustichini argue that the high mortality is Lombardy is likely due to lack of enough intensive care units.
Why is mortality in Lombardy so high?
Carlo Ambrogio Favero has a draft of a new paper: “Why is COVID-19 Mortality in Lombardy so High? Evidence from the Simulation of a SEIRHC.” Answer: the SEIR model calibrated to international evidence doesn’t work.
Benefit of flattening the curve
Thunström et al: “The benefits and costs of flattening the curve for Covid-19”
Social distancing matters a lot
Greenstone and Nigan: “Does social distancing matter?”
Korolev estimated SEIRD model
Ferguson infection/transmission estimates
Article on spontaneous social distancing
Flavio Toxvaerd considers how spontaneous social distancing by people influences the path of the epidemic. He shows that by protecting themselves, people “flatten the curve” in a non-coordinated manner.
Spread of Covid-19 in Iceland
Using testing to restart the economy
Dewatripont et al on using testing to safely restart the economy.
Diamond Princess data
Russell et al article analyzing the Diamond Princess data.