Medical authorities around the world have paused vaccination campaigns in response to fatal side-effects observed in a rare number of cases. They claimed to act out “an abundance of caution”. As experts in risk assessment and statistical analysis, Peter Reinhard Hansen and David Knudsen Levine argue that an abundance of caution really dictates the continuation of vaccinations with risk levels being continuously evaluated as the campaigns proceeds.
Targeting High-Contact Individuals
Can interventions targeting a minority of highly connected individuals effectively limit the transmission of SARS-CoV-2? Gianluca Manzo and Arnout van de Rijt analyzed population survey data finding that a small proportion of individuals reports a very high frequency of close-range contacts. Their simulations show that targeting hubs where high numbers of close-range contacts occure can robustly improve containment.
Thousands of new COVID-cases each day – what do the numbers really tell us?
Johannes Borgen analyzes available French hospital data to compare the first COVID-19-wave with the present second wave. His conclusion: We are yet below the intensity of the pandemic in March and April – but we’re moving fast in a similar direction. Study the stats for yourself.
The lockdown and its impact on the mortality by COVID-19
In their recent paper, Nicola Borri, Francesco Drago, Chiara Santantonio and Francesco Sobbrio trace the effect of the closing of all non-essential economic activities on the mortality by COVID-19. Their findings suggest that the intensity of the economic lockdown is associated to a statistically significant reduction in mortality by COVID-19. Found out more here.
EUI Data Portal
While we will continue to update this page with news items the blog format is not the most convenient for finding data. All the data on these pages can now be found in a more organized form in the EUI Data Portal a long-term project designed to make available covid-19 related data for social science researchers.
Latest COVID-research (IV) -NBER Working Papers
This thread lists COVID-related papers recently published in the Working Papers series of the National Bureau of Economic Research (United States).
From the 13 July edition:
- COVID-19 and Implications for Automation, by Alex W. Chernoff, Casey Warman
- How Much does COVID-19 Increase with Mobility? Evidence from New York and Four Other U.S. Cities, by Edward L. Glaeser, Caitlin S. Gorback, Stephen J. Redding
- Measuring Employer-to-Employer Reallocation, by Shigeru Fujita, Giuseppe Moscarini, Fabien Postel-Vinay
- Identification and Estimation of Undetected COVID-19 Cases Using Testing Data from Iceland, by Karl M. Aspelund, Michael C. Droste, James H. Stock, Christopher D. Walker
- Did President Trump’s Tulsa Rally Reignite COVID-19? Indoor Events and Offsetting Community Effects, by Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Drew McNichols, Connor Redpath, Joseph J. Sabia
- Messages on COVID-19 Prevention in India Increased Symptoms Reporting and Adherence to Preventive Behaviors Among 25 Million Recipients with Similar Effects on Non-recipient Members of Their Communities, by Abhijit Banerjee, Marcella Alsan, Emily Breza, et al.
- Private Precaution and Public Restrictions: What Drives Social Distancing and Industry Foot Traffic in the COVID-19 Era?, Christopher J. Cronin, William N. Evans
- Electoral Concerns Reduce Restrictive Measures During the COVID-19 Pandemic, by Massimo Pulejo, Pablo Querubín
- Natural Disasters and Elective Medical Services: How Big is the Bounce-Back?, by Tatyana Deryugina, Jonathan Gruber, Adrienne Sabety
NOTE: The NBER Working Papers series publishes early findings of ongoing research to encourage discussion and collect suggestions for revisions. Papers are neither peer reviewed nor endorsed by the NBER Board of directors.
Latest COVID-research (III) -NBER Working Papers
This thread lists COVID-related papers recently published in the Working Papers series of the National Bureau of Economic Research (United States).
From the 6 July edition:
- The Determinants of Fiscal and Monetary Policies During the Covid-19 Crisis, by Efraim Benmelech, Nitzan Tzur-Ilan
- The Impact of COVID-19 on Small Business Owners: Continued Losses and the Partial Rebound in May 2020, by Robert W. Fairlie
- Real-Time Real Economic Activity: Exiting the Great Recession and Entering the Pandemic Recession, by Francis X. Diebold
- Older People are Less Pessimistic about the Health Risks of Covid-19, by Pedro Bordalo, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei Shleifer
- Business in a Time of Spanish Influenza, by Howard Bodenhorn
NOTE: The NBER Working Papers series publishes early findings of ongoing research to encourage discussion and collect suggestions for revisions. Papers are neither peer reviewed nor endorsed by the NBER Board of directors.
Latest COVID-research (II) -NBER Working Papers
This thread lists COVID-related papers recently published in the Working Papers series of the National Bureau of Economic Research (United States).
From the 29 June edition:
- Early Evidence on the Impact of COVID-19 and the Recession on Older Workers, by Truc Thi Mai Bui, Patrick Button, Elyce G. Picciotti
- Back to Business and (Re)employing Workers? Labor Market Activity During State COVID-19 Reopenings, by Wei Cheng, Patrick Carlin, Joanna Carroll, et al.
- Epidemics in the Neoclassical and New Keynesian Models, by Martin S. Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, Mathias Trabandt
- Optimal Lockdown in a Commuting Network, by Pablo Fajgelbaum, Amit Khandelwal, Wookun Kim, Cristiano Mantovani, Edouard Schaal
- What Jobs are Being Done at Home During the Covid-19 Crisis? Evidence from Firm-Level Surveys, by Alexander W. Bartik, Zoe B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher T. Stanton
- Portfolio Delegation and 401(k) Plan Participant Responses to COVID-19, by David Blanchett, Michael S. Finke, Jonathan Reuter
- COVID-19 and the Demand for Online Food Shopping Services: Empirical Evidence from Taiwan, by Hung-Hao Chang, Chad Meyerhoefer
- Fear, Lockdown, and Diversion: Comparing Drivers of Pandemic Economic Decline 2020, by Austan Goolsbee, Chad Syverson
- Scarring Body and Mind: The Long-Term Belief-Scarring Effects of COVID-19, by Julian Kozlowski, Laura Veldkamp, Venky Venkateswaran
- How Did COVID-19 and Stabilization Policies Affect Spending and Employment? A New Real-Time Economic Tracker Based on Private Sector Data, by Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, Nathaniel Hendren, Michael Stepner, The Opportunity Insights Team
- Pandemic Shocks and Fiscal-Monetary Policies in the Eurozone: COVID-19 Dominance During January – June 2020, by Yothin Jinjarak, Rashad Ahmed, Sameer Nair-Desai, Weining Xin, Joshua Aizenman
- Implications of the Covid-19 Pandemic for State Government Tax Revenues, by Jeffrey Clemens, Stan Veuger
NOTE: The NBER Working Papers series publishes early findings of ongoing research to encourage discussion and collect suggestions for revisions. Papers are neither peer reviewed nor endorsed by the NBER Board of directors.
Latest COVID-research (I) -NBER Working Papers
This thread lists COVID-related papers recently published in the Working Papers series of the National Bureau of Economic Research (United States).
From the 22 June edition:
- Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis, by Zhiguo He, Stefan Nagel, Zhaogang Song
- The Effectiveness of Life-Preserving Investments in Times of COVID-19, by Jules H. van Binsbergen, Christian C. Opp
- The Political Scar of Epidemics, by Cevat Giray Aksoy, Barry Eichengreen, Orkun Saka
- Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic, by David Altig, Scott R. Baker, Jose Maria Barrero, et al.
- Social Distancing and Social Capital: Why U.S. Counties Respond Differently to COVID-19, by Wenzhi Ding, Ross Levine, Chen Lin, Wensi Xie
- Black Lives Matter Protests, Social Distancing, and COVID-19, by Dhaval M. Dave, Andrew I. Friedson, Kyutaro Matsuzawa, Joseph J. Sabia, Samuel Safford
- Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?, by Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber
- The Impact of COVID-19 on Student Experiences and Expectations: Evidence from a Survey, by Esteban M. Aucejo, Jacob F. French, Maria Paola Ugalde Araya, Basit Zafar
- What Does and Does Not Correlate with COVID-19 Death Rates, by Christopher R. Knittel, Bora Ozaltun
- Coronavirus: Impact on Stock Prices and Growth Expectations, by Niels J. Gormsen, Ralph S. J. Koijen
- Racial Disparity in COVID-19 Deaths: Seeking Economic Roots with Census data, by John McLaren
- Misinformation During a Pandemic, by Leonardo Bursztyn, Aakaash Rao, Christopher P. Roth, David H. Yanagizawa-Drott
NOTE: The NBER Working Papers series publishes early findings of ongoing research to encourage discussion and collect suggestions for revisions. Papers are neither peer reviewed nor endorsed by the NBER Board of directors.
Public Opinion Research on COVID-perceptions in Austria
The Corona-Blog of the Vienna Center for Electoral Research presents up-to-date public opinion research on perceptions in Austria of a wide array of covid-related issues.